Monday, August 4, 2008

1st August to Independence Day

1st August. Opposition Leader Dr Wan Azizah quit from her position yesterday, as Member of Parliament (MP) (Permatang Pauh) paving way for hubby cum de facto opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim to be in Parliament. With Independence Day looming in the horizon, the biggest concern is whether Anwar Ibrahim would be arrested. Would his independence be curtailed via bias use of the police force.

Election rule states that a by-election must be held within 60 days. I heard from reliable sources that Budget would be tabled in August prior to Aug 31st. August 29 to be exact. Based on that I am predicting that there would be two scenarios that would happen.

Scenario 1: Anwar would be arrested, charged and found guilty in the court of law got sodomy. This would dim his chances to stand for an election. Probably Wan Azizah will have to reprise her role as MP based on the strong ground support.

Scenario 2: Anwar stands for a by election and wins the seat hands down.
Deputy Premier Najib Razak for once admitted it would be tough to win by-election in Anwar's turf. Current hot favorite who may stand for Permatang Pauh is Ezam Noor. Common sense would tell you not to trap a lion in a lion's den. Premier cum UMNO president would need to find a scape goat to be sacrificed in at the lion's den. Annuar Musa was nore realistic wgen he commented that BN should simply boycott the by election. All this would most probably take place within Aug 1 to Independence Day that falls on 31 Aug. Only then can Anwar fullfil his dream of reclaiming Putrajaya on Sept 16.

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